The CMA’s updated issues statement on its energy market
investigation has been hailed as a ‘win’ for the energy companies, while
suggesting that a lack of competition could be due to poor regulation and
customer apathy. A closer look at the
CMA’s initial findings suggests a more nuanced view.
Overall, the ‘Big Six’ energy companies – Centrica, EDF,
E.ON UK, Npower, Scottish Power and SSE – will breathe a sigh of relief at the
CMA’s initial view that there is insufficient evidence on a number of allegedly
anticompetitive practices. These include suggestions of excess profits and
pricing in generation and wholesale gas supply and collusive behaviour in
retail energy markets. The CMA has also moved away from attributing competition
concerns to vertical integration. In so
doing it appears to be placing little emphasis on a possible break-up of the
Big Six.
In contrast, the CMA appears to be laying some of the
responsibility for a lack of competition at Ofgem’s door. The CMA has pointed to areas where it
believes, on initial examination, that the regulatory framework could be a
potential cause of market distortion and inefficiencies in wholesale
electricity markets. At this initial
stage the CMA seems to be focusing more on retail markets where domestic
consumers – and particularly those on standard variable tariffs– have little
inclination to switch supplier.
These initial findings seem to suggest that the CMA is
heading towards the type of remedies which could include simplified tariffs. In principle more reliable and transparent
information would make it easier for customers to compare prices and
switch. Some might say that is not a
particularly earth shattering finding, and that an information remedy is rather
a damp squib after what is likely to be an 18 month inquiry.
While the initial findings are useful in terms of isolating
the CMA’s key concerns and thinking, I would sound a note of caution before
concluding that more intrusive remedies are off the table. It may also be speculated how its findings
will be received after a General Election. The CMA’s inquiry is ostensibly independent
of the political process. But it cannot
go unnoticed that the day the issues statement was released energy minister Ed Davey said that the government would not
flinch from taking touch action if the evidence supports a structural
remedy. It is probably best not to speculate
at this stage. The CMA invites comments
on its updated issues statement by 18 March.
CMA press release, Energy market investigation – updated
issues statement, 18 February 2015
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